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  1. caramel

    PD of default

    Whats the difference between probability of default and marginal probability of default. Was trying the below 45. A portfolio consists of 17 uncorrelated bonds, each rated B. The 1-year marginal default probability of each bond is 5.93%. Assuming an even spread of default probability over the...
  2. caramel

    Quality of GAARP questions

    Hi David It seems kind of scary, from GAARP practice exams at the way some questions are framed , eg in 2012 practice , I am left guessing if the investor has taken a long or short position as nothing is mentioned I assumed long . I hope I dont see the same stuff on 17th Nov , considering I...
  3. caramel

    Expected Shortfall

    HI David I was a little confused and after reading thr was another thread , I was wondering if this is another Garp error From the handbook FRM exam 2003 question 5 Given the following 30 ordered percentage returns of an asset, calculate the VAR and expected shortfall at a 90% confidence...
  4. caramel

    monte Carlo Simulation accuracy

    Monte Carlo simulation returns consists of 100 replications returns a 95% VAR quantile of 1.645 with Standard Error of 0.40 such that the confidence interval for the VAR quantile is [1.245, 2.045.]This standard error is deemed too high. How many replications are approximately required to reduce...
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