Hi @David Harper CFA FRM I would really appreciate if you can answer my another concern on the understanding of Bayes Theorem.
Most of the time, in finding the outperforming probabilities, P(O), I would need to square the conditional probabilities if it is 2 years in a row and multiple it by...
Hi @David Harper CFA FRM , can you please help me to answer this question;
1.) Why is it called bayes theorem in --> multiple states?
2.) Why the probabilities are presented in different conventions? it is really confusing.
What I meant is this: P(P=0.8)= 15%, P(P=0.5)= 55%, and P(P=0.2)= 30%...
Hi @David Harper CFA FRM, than you for the very clear explanation :). I really appreciate it!
At the moment only ur explanation can enlighten me and suit my needs :).
Hi @David Harper CFA FRM
I think what u shared above is no the same as in the schweser 2018 book. Can you explain to me.. i might be wrong as leptokurtic has and excess kurtosis equal to 3 no -3.?
Thank you very much
Hi @David Harper CFA FRM, Good day.
I have a question here... regarding the example above. Do you know why if i did not specify the PV=0 i will get different value?
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