These are good questions and not really beginner level questions. I would try to keep them in mind and continue your preparation. Many of the answers will come to you as you study.
Read the GARP readings and supplement them with the BT Notes, BT Videos, and BT Questions. If you had exposure to finance already, I would suggest the BT materials only, but you could benefit from the GARP readings as well. This is the approach I took....
This is a good question - read the assigned reading on binomial trees or the notes and it should provide an answer.
Hint: There are two probabilities of an up move, the risk-neutral probability and the actual "true" probability.
Regarding the two positions, they are equivalent (I believe) as a result of put call parity for options on currencies.
Recall Put-Call Parity is as follows:
C(pounds, $, T) - P(pounds, $, T) = [ exchange rate (in $/pounds) ] * e^(r_pounds*T) - K * e^(r_dollars*T)
where C(pounds, $, T)...
it really can be overwhelming...just start with the study material and post questions as you think of them. Very soon, you will be able to answer questions as often, if not more often, than you need to ask them! Best of luck!
1) Looking at the first Stock & Watson example (Pg 84) , why did we use 1.972 instead of 1.96 as the z value?
The 1.972 is the exact number assuming a t distribution (in excel, it is =TINV(0.05,n-1) which is =TINV(0.05,199))
It really doesn't matter if you use t or z when dealing with n=200. If...
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