One Step binomial problem from Hull

anand99

Member
19.12.1 The current price of a stock is $10, and it is known that at the end of three (3) months the stock's price will be either $13 or $7. The risk-free rate is 4% per annum. What is the implied no-arbitrage price of a three-month (T = 0.25) European call option on the stock with a strike price of $10? (note: this does not include an assumption about the stock's volatility).
a) $0.97
b) $1.28
c) $1.53
d) $1.55

Hi for the above problem from the study notes, I am more comfortable using the probability approach described in the notes, so I solved the above problem in the following way and wind up with $1.55 as the answer instead of $1.53. Can you tell me what I am doing wrong? My steps are shown below.

13p + 7(1-p) + 10*e^0.04(0.25)
6p = 10*e^0.04(0.25)-7
p = 0.5168
3*0.5168+0*0.4832 = 1.55
 

ShaktiRathore

Well-Known Member
Subscriber
hi,
3prob.+0(1-prob.)= p*e^(.04*.25)..1
U=13/10=1.3
D=7/10=.7
prob.=e^(.04*.25)-.7/.6=1.010-.7/.6=.516
from 1,
p=3prob.*e^(-.04*.25)=3*.516*e^(-.04*.25)=1.532~1.53 to be precise.

thanks
 
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